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2024-12-13 18:20:39

First of all, personal pension is also a long-term positive, but the short-term stock of funds is limited. With more and more people participating, the scale of funds will expand accordingly, and the high probability will become a big boost for A shares. After all, this batch of funds is difficult to withdraw, and it is also a typical long-term fund.Secondly, the draft of the heavy meeting has landed. Compared with the previous meeting, the general content is basically the same, only a few points exceed expectations. Let's have a brief chat with you:Yesterday, A-shares were still a scene of the resonance of individual stocks and indexes falling back in early trading. As a result, when the news of personal pension at 11 o'clock came out, the market directly exploded! Big finance, which directly benefited, took the lead, not only pulled up the index, but also continued to repair the stocks in the afternoon. Yesterday, it rose again and broke the curse of Black Thursday.


1, improve the financial deficit ratio. Proactive fiscal policy,Overnight, European and American stock markets were mixed, and the three major indexes of US stocks continued to adjust. The Chinese stock index rose slightly by 0.02%, and the A50 index fell by 0.89%. The external sentiment was negative. Judging from the sudden diving in the A50 session at night, foreign capital is also in line with expectations, so it is necessary to guard against chasing up today.Recently, domestic-funded institutions have made a large net outflow continuously, and the entry of mysterious funds is not continuous. Therefore, Lao Liu judged that once the incremental funds are insufficient to follow the trend, the market is likely to fluctuate and consolidate, so don't chase after it in the short term, especially in terms of consumption!


3. Implement special actions to boost domestic demand. I won't say more. The expectation has already landed, but it depends on implementation. Before, the market had expected to issue special treasury bonds to residents to subsidize consumption. Now consumer stocks are accelerating in the short term, so be careful to cash in the risks.4, a relatively new formulation, new quality productivity+AI; There is also involution competition governance; Promoting fertility has not been mentioned before.Therefore, what is lacking at the moment is substantial and beneficial, such as lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. Technically, my judgment remains unchanged, and the nature of the small high point of 3494 points has not changed. Unless it can be broken through in volume, it will need to be adjusted at that time. If it is short-term, continue to wait and see, and don't blindly chase after it.

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